Bosna-Hersek (K) 1-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
62%
Away Win
72%
-9.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.72/4.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.03
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 84%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 31.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.83 xG 4.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 7
157 Passes 491
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 5-1 HT 1-1 Bosna-Hersek (K) Bosna-Hersek (K) AVKUL
13.11.2018 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Bosna-Hersek (K) Bosna-Hersek (K) HAZ
17.09.2014 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Bosna-Hersek (K) Bosna-Hersek (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bosna-Hersek (K)
1-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.88 xG 2.04
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
125 Passes 399
57% Pass Accuracy 78%
3 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bosna-Hersek (K) and Polonya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Polonya (K) carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bosna-Hersek (K) had 29% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 71%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.88 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bosna-Hersek (K) and 4.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Bosna-Hersek (K) 1-1 Polonya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek (K) 19%, draw 19%, Polonya (K) 62%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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