Kazakistan (K) 3-2 Ermenistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ermenistan (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25.02.2025 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) AVKUL
04.06.2024 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) 4-1 HT 2-1 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) KAVŞE
31.05.2024 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) KAVŞE
05.12.2023 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) AVKUL
26.09.2023 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) AVKUL
15.06.2021 Ermenistan (K) Ermenistan (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) HAZ
POST-MATCH Kazakistan (K) vs Ermenistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazakistan (K) nicked a narrow win over Ermenistan (K) 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kazakistan (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazakistan (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kazakistan (K) and 1.17 for Ermenistan (K).

What was the final score of Kazakistan (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?

Kazakistan (K) 3-2 Ermenistan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan (K) vs Ermenistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazakistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan (K) 50%, draw 25%, Ermenistan (K) 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kazakistan (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kazakistan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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