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Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macaristan (K) v Azerbaycan (K) — Team-Based Signals
Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Macaristan (K) 1-0 Azerbaycan (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Macaristan (K) squeezed past Azerbaycan (K) 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Macaristan (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Macaristan (K) had 65% of the ball to Azerbaycan (K)'s 35%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 2.05 to 0.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Macaristan (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macaristan (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Macaristan (K) and 0.50 for Azerbaycan (K).
What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?
Macaristan (K) 1-0 Azerbaycan (K) in the Women's World Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 76%, draw 13%, Azerbaycan (K) 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.