Macaristan (K) 1-1 Azerbaycan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
82%
-22.5pp
25%
Draw
11%
+13.6pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan (K)
1-1
AWAY Azerbaycan (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan (K) and Azerbaycan (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Macaristan (K) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macaristan (K) had 67% of the ball to Azerbaycan (K)'s 33%, shots finished 26-5.

What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Macaristan (K) 1-1 Azerbaycan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 59%, draw 25%, Azerbaycan (K) 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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