Warta Poznan 1-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
26%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.9pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
+57% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
22.08.2025 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2-2 HT 1-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-1
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan and Rekord Bielsko-Biala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Warta Poznan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 46% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 54%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Warta Poznan 1-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 49%, draw 22%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Warta Poznan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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