Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 NKP Podhale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY NKP Podhale EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.63/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.41
+12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0W-1D-0L
AWAY NKP Podhale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2025 NKP Podhale NKP Podhale 1-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-0
AWAY NKP Podhale
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs NKP Podhale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec squeezed past NKP Podhale 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Zaglebie Sosnowiec made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 40% of the ball to NKP Podhale's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs NKP Podhale?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 NKP Podhale in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs NKP Podhale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 39%, draw 27%, NKP Podhale 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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