Plymouth Parkway 4-1 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.8pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.74/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.92
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
05.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Parkway
4-1
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway ran out comfortable winners over Swindon Supermarine 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Plymouth Parkway as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Plymouth Parkway had 43% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 57%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Swindon Supermarine led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 2.33 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine?

Plymouth Parkway 4-1 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 41%, draw 28%, Swindon Supermarine 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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