Swindon Supermarine 3-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.61
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.7pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.05/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.90
+36% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 2-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Supermarine
3-0
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine cruised past Plymouth Parkway 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Swindon Supermarine had 50% of the ball to Plymouth Parkway's 50%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 1.00 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway?

Swindon Supermarine 3-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 41%, draw 24%, Plymouth Parkway 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine)
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