Morpeth Town 2-1 Atherton Collieries — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Atherton Collieries EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -22%
1.65/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.81
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Atherton Collieries
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.02.2024 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries 4-3 HT 3-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries 1-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries 1-1 HT 0-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
28.08.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Atherton Collieries
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town edged past Atherton Collieries 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Morpeth Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.20 for Atherton Collieries.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Atherton Collieries?

Morpeth Town 2-1 Atherton Collieries in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Atherton Collieries?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 48%, draw 25%, Atherton Collieries 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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