Guiseley 1-0 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.31
+14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 3-4 HT 2-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 1-3 HT 0-2 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 4-2 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley edged past Radcliffe Borough 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Radcliffe Borough at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Guiseley and 3.33 for Radcliffe Borough.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Radcliffe Borough?

Guiseley 1-0 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 33%, draw 24%, Radcliffe Borough 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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