AFC Sudbury 1-0 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

AFC Sudbury
1-0
AFC Telford United
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Sudbury v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.92
-1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
24.02.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury edged past AFC Telford United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United?

AFC Sudbury 1-0 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 29%, draw 27%, AFC Telford United 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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