AFC Telford United 3-2 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

AFC Telford United
3-2 HT 2-0
AFC Sudbury
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

AFC Telford United vs AFC Sudbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Telford United v AFC Sudbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.42/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.24
-32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United nicked a narrow win over AFC Sudbury 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs AFC Sudbury?

AFC Telford United 3-2 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 53%, draw 22%, AFC Sudbury 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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