Basingstoke Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.6pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.83/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.94
+27% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-1 HT 1-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town edged past Plymouth Parkway 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Basingstoke Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Basingstoke Town 1-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 35%, draw 33%, Plymouth Parkway 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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