Long Eaton United 2-2 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
57%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
57%
Away Win
74%
-16.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 78%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
225 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Long Eaton United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stourbridge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 3-0 HT 1-0 Long Eaton United İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Long Eaton United 1-4 Stourbridge Stourbridge FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Long Eaton United
2-2
AWAY Stourbridge
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Long Eaton United vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Long Eaton United and Stourbridge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stourbridge at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Long Eaton United had 47% of the ball to Stourbridge's 53%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stourbridge led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Long Eaton United and 3.50 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Long Eaton United vs Stourbridge?

Long Eaton United 2-2 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Eaton United vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Long Eaton United 19%, draw 24%, Stourbridge 57%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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