Radcliffe Borough 3-4 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.55
+6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guiseley
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 1-3 HT 0-2 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 4-2 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
3-4
AWAY Guiseley
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley edged past Radcliffe Borough 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radcliffe Borough at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 64% of the ball to Guiseley's 36%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radcliffe Borough had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 1.50 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Guiseley?

Radcliffe Borough 3-4 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 47%, draw 28%, Guiseley 25%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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