Peterborough United 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 7 Apr 2024

Peterborough United
2-1 HT 0-0
Wycombe Wanderers
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs Wycombe Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.68
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
9%
7.31
X/X
17%
5.18
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
5.03
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Wycombe Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
0.99/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.05
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
14.7 Crosses 19.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.7

Peterborough United vs Wycombe Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.40 xG 1.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
362 Passes 159
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
25 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 5-2 HT 2-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
21.10.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
01.01.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-3 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
18.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNTK
15.10.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
21.01.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1

Peterborough United 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
2-1
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.33 xG 0.68
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
470 Passes 144
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United squeezed past Wycombe Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 71% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 29%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 2.33 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Peterborough United 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 47%, draw 29%, Wycombe Wanderers 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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