Malmö FF 2-0 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 7 Apr 2024

Malmö FF
2-0 HT 1-0
Hammarby
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.65
X/1
20%
3.54
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
10%
6.39
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
8%
11.4
2/X
8%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.82/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.77
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
23.3 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Malmö FF vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
418 Passes 414
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
30.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-2 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
01.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
02.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
29.08.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ

Malmö FF 2-0 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
2-0
AWAY Hammarby
2.95 xG 0.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
418 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF got the better of Hammarby 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Malmö FF had 54% of the ball to Hammarby's 46%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.95 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malmö FF and 0.83 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Hammarby?

Malmö FF 2-0 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 55%, draw 26%, Hammarby 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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