Vasteras SK FK 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.47
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.53
X/2
15%
4.96
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.04
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
1.34 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
437 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg nicked a narrow win over Vasteras SK FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Elfsborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 54% of the ball to Elfsborg's 46%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.34 to 0.68 — on chances, Vasteras SK FK could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg?

Vasteras SK FK 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 34%, draw 28%, Elfsborg 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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