Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 50%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.75/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.14
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.4 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.71 xG 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
235 Passes 450
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-2 HT 2-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
02.09.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.23 xG 1.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 444
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina edged past Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Beer Sheva at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 41% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 59%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.23 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Beer Sheva led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 2.50 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 31%, draw 24%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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