Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 7 Apr 2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai
3-2 HT 3-1
Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.35
2-3 Goals
44%
2.11
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
11%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli FC Dubai v Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.57
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.9 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.03.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 HT 2-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
15.10.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
03.04.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
22.10.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
06.03.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE

Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3-2
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.31 xG 1.78
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
224 Passes 506
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai edged past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 34% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.31 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.33 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 43%, draw 25%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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