Al Ain 1-3 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 7 Apr 2024

Al Ain
1-3 HT 0-3
Al Nasr
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Ain vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
14%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ain v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.23/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.77
+19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.9 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Ain vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 0.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
19.10.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
08.10.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
21.05.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
17.05.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
17.03.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr beat Al Ain 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ain and 1.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Nasr?

Al Ain 1-3 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 49%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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