Khalidiya 1-0 Busaiteen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
63%
-19.8pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.93
+66% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +93%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Busaiteen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.10.2023 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-2 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
1-0
AWAY Busaiteen
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Busaiteen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya edged past Busaiteen 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Khalidiya had 49% of the ball to Busaiteen's 51%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Busaiteen?

Khalidiya 1-0 Busaiteen in the Bahrain - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Busaiteen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 43%, draw 33%, Busaiteen 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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