Sitra 1-2 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Sitra
1-2 HT 1-2
Manama
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
0.73/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.18
-39% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Manama
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
19.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 2-0 HT 2-0 Manama Manama BAH
02.02.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
13.09.2022 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-2
AWAY Manama
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manama nicked a narrow win over Sitra 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Manama made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sitra had 51% of the ball to Manama's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sitra had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sitra and 0.25 for Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Manama?

Sitra 1-2 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sitra 31%, draw 33%, Manama 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manama), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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