Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.92/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.44
-32% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
22.1 Crosses 20.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2-2
AWAY RFC Liege
1.01 xG 1.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
184 Passes 286
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage and RFC Liege shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 42% of the ball to RFC Liege's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?

Boussu Dour Borinage 2-2 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 32%, draw 29%, RFC Liege 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Liege) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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