KV Oostende 1-2 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

KV Oostende
1-2 HT 0-1
Beerschot VA
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

KV Oostende vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KV Oostende v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 50%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +26%
1.08/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.09
-39% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
18.8 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

KV Oostende vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KV Oostende
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.39 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
268 Passes 300
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 0-1 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL2
18.12.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-2 HT 0-2 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL
18.09.2021 KV Oostende KV Oostende 3-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
11.04.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 1-0 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL
10.08.2020 KV Oostende KV Oostende 1-2 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
18.05.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-1 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL

KV Oostende 1-2 Beerschot VA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KV Oostende
1-2
AWAY Beerschot VA
0.71 xG 1.47
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 Passes 452
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KV Oostende vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA edged past KV Oostende 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KV Oostende had 39% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.71 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KV Oostende had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KV Oostende and 1.00 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of KV Oostende vs Beerschot VA?

KV Oostende 1-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KV Oostende vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KV Oostende 28%, draw 27%, Beerschot VA 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✗ BTTS No
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