BATE II 2-1 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH BATE II vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE II nicked a narrow win over Baranovichi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BATE II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of BATE II vs Baranovichi?

BATE II 2-1 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE II vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BATE II 45%, draw 29%, Baranovichi 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE II), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BATE II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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