Lida 1-0 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lida EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 31%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.09/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.10
-33% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +59%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lida
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Lida Lida 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
12.06.2022 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Lida Lida BLR1
07.11.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Lida Lida BLR1
21.08.2021 Lida Lida 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
05.06.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Lida Lida BLR1
18.07.2020 Lida Lida 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH Lida vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lida nicked a narrow win over FC Volna Pinsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lida as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lida and 1.17 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Lida vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Lida 1-0 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lida vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lida 47%, draw 23%, FC Volna Pinsk 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lida) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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