Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.0
Over 2.5
40%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.48/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.99
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
21.6 Crosses 14.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 0.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 Passes 267
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
26.06.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
13.09.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
24.12.2020 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2-1
AWAY Wilstermann
1.34 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
214 Passes 197
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero edged past Wilstermann 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 51% of the ball to Wilstermann's 49%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.50 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 48%, draw 27%, Wilstermann 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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