Wilstermann 3-0 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.34/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.0 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.52 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 198
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
26.06.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
13.09.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
24.12.2020 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
02.03.2020 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
3-0
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
0.47 xG 1.13
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
121 Passes 326
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann swept aside Oriente Petrolero 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wilstermann as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 33% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 67%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.47 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Oriente Petrolero.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wilstermann and 1.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero?

Wilstermann 3-0 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 52%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wilstermann), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ BTTS No
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