Guabira 2-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
21.9 Crosses 10.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.93 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
27.06.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
12.12.2021 Guabira Guabira 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
14.08.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
2-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
0.53 xG 1.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
283 Passes 114
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira squeezed past Independiente Petrolero 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guabira had 65% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 35%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.53 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Independiente Petrolero.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Guabira and 1.50 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Guabira 2-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guabira 59%, draw 26%, Independiente Petrolero 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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