Dreams 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dreams EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 30%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.87
+25% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
10.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
10.5 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dreams
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.55 xG 1.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
234 Passes 123
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako 1-2 HT 0-0 Dreams Dreams CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dreams
1-1
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
0.89 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
246 Passes 97
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dreams vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dreams and Stade Malien Bamako couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dreams at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Dreams had 56% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 44%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.89 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Dreams vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Dreams 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dreams vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dreams win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dreams 43%, draw 26%, Stade Malien Bamako 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dreams), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dreams) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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