Delfin 0-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Apr 2024

Delfin
0-2 HT 0-1
Uni. Catolica
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Delfin vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+13.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
53%
-16.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.8pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.13/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.04
+12% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +42%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
15.0 Crosses 16.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Delfin vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
253 Passes 414
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.05.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2022 Delfin Delfin 2-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
30.05.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-2 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
30.10.2021 Delfin Delfin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
16.05.2021 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1

Delfin 0-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.57 xG 1.60
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
187 Passes 529
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of Delfin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Uni. Catolica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 31% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 69%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.57 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Delfin and 1.50 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Uni. Catolica?

Delfin 0-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Delfin 35%, draw 28%, Uni. Catolica 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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