Hwaseong 2-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
1.34/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
-24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
15.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
02.04.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
29.10.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
05.06.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
01.10.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
29.05.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong saw off Paju Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hwaseong and 1.33 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?

Hwaseong 2-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 52%, draw 24%, Paju Citizen 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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