Daejeon Citizen 1-2 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
12%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.62
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
17%
6.18
X/2
13%
4.89
X/X
7%
4.08
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.22
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.5 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-3 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
13.05.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
11.03.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
23.09.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
30.05.2015 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-2
AWAY Pohang Steelers
42% Ball Possession 58%
2 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
342 Passes 515
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Citizen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Citizen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 42% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 58%, shots finished 2-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 2.00 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Daejeon Citizen 1-2 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 24%, Pohang Steelers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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