Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
14%
7.54
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
11%
6.15
2/X
10%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
19.3 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.58 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
442 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 HT 1-2 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
29.04.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.10.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
03.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 2-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
15.05.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-3
AWAY Gangwon
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
424 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past Jeonbuk Motors 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 51% of the ball to Gangwon's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.33 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 45%, draw 25%, Gangwon 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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