Roda 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.77/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.85
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.5 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-4D-0L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
410 Passes 285
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
19.03.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
07.10.2022 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
13.02.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
26.11.2021 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
29.04.2018 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-4 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
2-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.21 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roda vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda edged past VVV-Venlo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roda had 42% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roda and 0.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Roda vs VVV-Venlo?

Roda 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roda 55%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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