Lobos UPNFM 0-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 7 Apr 2024

Lobos UPNFM
0-1 HT 0-1
Olancho
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.3pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.3pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobos UPNFM v Olancho — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
-26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
12.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
17.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.02.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 3-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
07.11.2022 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho edged past Lobos UPNFM 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.83 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Lobos UPNFM 0-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 31%, draw 22%, Olancho 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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