Olancho 0-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 20%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.21
-30% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
17.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.02.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 3-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
07.11.2022 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.09.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Lobos UPNFM played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Olancho carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM?

Olancho 0-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Olancho 56%, draw 25%, Lobos UPNFM 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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