Vida 1-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.21/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/2.00
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / -47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Vida Vida 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
15.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
16.04.2023 Vida Vida 3-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
13.11.2022 Vida Vida 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.09.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Vida Vida HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vida squeezed past CD Victoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vida found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vida had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vida and 1.00 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Vida vs CD Victoria?

Vida 1-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vida win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vida 37%, draw 27%, CD Victoria 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
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