Tokushima Vortis 0-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 7 Apr 2024

Tokushima Vortis
0-1 HT 0-1
JEF United
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokushima Vortis v JEF United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -26%
1.21/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.74
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
210 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 546 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-4D-0L
AWAY JEF United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
602 Passes 205
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 3-3 HT 2-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.04.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
20.08.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
04.05.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
13.12.2020 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
23.08.2020 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2

Tokushima Vortis 0-1 JEF United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0-1
AWAY JEF United
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United squeezed past Tokushima Vortis 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 57% of the ball to JEF United's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United?

Tokushima Vortis 0-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 30%, draw 26%, JEF United 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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