CS Herediano 3-3 Grecia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Grecia EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.02/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.21
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Grecia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Grecia Grecia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
06.11.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
19.03.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
01.02.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-1 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
27.09.2022 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
3-3
AWAY Grecia
70% Ball Possession 30%
29 Total Shots 5
16 Shots on Target 4
20 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Grecia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Grecia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. CS Herediano carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 70% of the ball to Grecia's 30%, shots finished 29-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CS Herediano and 0.33 for Grecia.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Grecia?

CS Herediano 3-3 Grecia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Grecia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 59%, draw 22%, Grecia 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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7 Apr 2024
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