Santos de Guapiles 3-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.27/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 5-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
18.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.08.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles cruised past Municipal Liberia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 3.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?

Santos de Guapiles 3-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 29%, draw 29%, Municipal Liberia 42%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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