Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 26%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.43/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
-17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
06.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
04.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
04.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
20.11.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
13.11.2022 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-0
AWAY FA Siauliai
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 56% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 44%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.33 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 48%, draw 25%, FA Siauliai 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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