Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferencvaros v Paksi SE — Team-Based Signals
Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
6-1
HT 6-1
Paksi SE
MAC
3-2
HT 1-1
Ferencvaros
MAC
1-3
HT 0-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
3-2
HT 2-2
Paksi SE
MAC
3-0
HT 1-0
Paksi SE
MACK
Ferencvaros 1-0 Paksi SE — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros squeezed past Paksi SE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ferencvaros had 71% of the ball to Paksi SE's 29%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.31 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.67 for Paksi SE.
What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE?
Ferencvaros 1-0 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 57%, draw 22%, Paksi SE 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.