Kecskemeti TE 1-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 53%
+24% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.58
+37% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
28.0 Crosses 27.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
288 Passes 260
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
26.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 4-1 HT 2-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.04.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
08.11.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
19.08.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
16.05.2015 Puskas FC Puskas FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1-2
AWAY Puskas FC
0.83 xG 0.46
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
184 Passes 357
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over Kecskemeti TE 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 37% of the ball to Puskas FC's 63%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Kecskemeti TE 1-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 29%, draw 25%, Puskas FC 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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