Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.50/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.83
+5% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +71%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Birkirkara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
02.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
25.02.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
19.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.05.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-0
AWAY Birkirkara
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans beat Birkirkara 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 50% of the ball to Birkirkara's 50%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 1.00 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara?

Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 45%, draw 28%, Birkirkara 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
15:00 Mosta vs Santa Lucia Analysis →
17:15 Sliema Wanderers vs Hibernians FC Analysis →