Birkirkara 2-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.6
Over 2.5
28%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.16
No
69%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
18%
+16.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
56%
-16.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
59%
+13.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
41%
-13.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
42%
-10.9pp
69%
BTTS No
58%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 60%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
25.02.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTAK
19.02.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
07.05.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
26.01.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara and Hamrun Spartans shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Birkirkara and 0.17 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Birkirkara 2-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - FA Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 35%, draw 26%, Hamrun Spartans 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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