Gzira United 2-0 Mgarr United FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 30 Mar 2024

Gzira United
2-0 HT 0-0
Mgarr United FC
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Malta - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
32%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-6.6pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gzira United v Mgarr United FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mgarr United FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.00/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United saw off Mgarr United FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC?

Gzira United 2-0 Mgarr United FC in the Malta - FA Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 67%, draw 16%, Mgarr United FC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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