Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
19%
+15.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
38%
Away Win
57%
-19.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 61%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Floriana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
14.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.12.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Floriana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 3.00 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 Floriana in the Malta - FA Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 35%, draw 27%, Floriana 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTAK More Malta - FA Cup
30 Mar 2024
16:00 Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC Analysis →
17:00 Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans Analysis →
18:30 Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers Analysis →