Mosta 2-2 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+8.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+123% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
205 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
27.09.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
20.02.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
31.10.2021 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
06.08.2017 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 1-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers HAZ
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta and Sliema Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sliema Wanderers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mosta and 1.20 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Mosta 2-2 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - FA Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mosta 26%, draw 28%, Sliema Wanderers 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTAK More Malta - FA Cup
30 Mar 2024
16:00 Gzira United vs Mgarr United FC Analysis →
16:00 Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana Analysis →
17:00 Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans Analysis →